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World Cup Scoring Knacks and Bouncing Backs

Wed 18th Jun 2014 | World Cup 2014

Airton Risk previews Spain v Chile, Australia v Netherlands and Cameroon v Croatia 

The second round of group matches are underway and the teams will now have one eye on qualification or an early exit.

Will the free-flowing high scoring matches continue, or will teams now ditch the cavalier approach to reassess their chances? Airton Risk, a division of Paddy Power PLC have taken a look at some of the interesting stats for tonight’s games.

Spain v Chile is the one everyone will be watching, the holders looking to bounce back after a crushing defeat by the Netherlands. France(2002) and Italy(2010) are the only defending champions to go out at the group stages. Spain are a 60% chance of not qualifying from the group now.

The Spaniards have conceded more goals in this tournament than in both the 2010 World Cup and Euro 2012 combined (3). Chile have scored at least 2 goals in their last 7 World Cup games (including qualifiers) so a clean sheet from the Spaniards looks a hard task. It is 61.90% likely that there will be over 2.5 goals in this game.

Spain have been awarded the most penalties in World Cup history with 16 out of 57 games. It is 28.57% that a penalty will be given tonight. They won’t have it all their own way though, Vidal scored five times in 11 appearances for Chile as the team qualified for the 2014 FIFA World Cup. He is 18.18% to score anytime. Barcelona player Alexis Sanchez will be looking to get one over on some of his club mates, he has scored 9 goals in his last 12 appearances for Chile. He is 11.11% to score first tonight.

Against Australia the Netherlands will be looking to build on their fantastic start. Robin Van Persie was back to his scintillating best scoring 2 goals against Spain. He is the big market mover in the race for the Golden Boot, 11.11% to be top scorer having been only a 2.5% chance on Friday.

Qualification looks increasingly difficult for Australia after defeat in their opening match against Chile.  One positive from the game was Tim Cahill, he scored their only goal and is a 8.33% chance to score first tonight.

In the late match Cameroon will face Croatia in Manaus. Samuel Eto’o had to apologise to all of Cameroon after missing a crucial penalty against Senegal back in 2011. He is a 2.94% likely to miss another tonight.

Luka Modric has been a key player for Croatia in the biggest matches. At Euro 2008 he was included in the UEFA "Team of the Tournament", becoming only the second Croatian to ever achieve this honour. He is 25% likely to win MOTM for this game.

 

Posted by: Aaron Gourley 

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